V-Lab
L1 Global Long Short Fund Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 4th, 2026
1 Day
11,846.48
1 Week
10,663.52
1 Month
10,736.65
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 4, 2026 at 05:50 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 29, 1994 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1260 | 0.23 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7399 | 37.40*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1260 | -0.11 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 0.49 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0474 | 0.25 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9526 | 56.41*** |
Persistence:
0.803
Half-life:
3 days
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