V-Lab
UBS CH Property Fund - Swiss Mixed Sima ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 4th, 2026
1 Day
1,664.68
1 Week
1,956.18
1 Month
1,943.35
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 4, 2026 at 08:29 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 23, 1990 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 8 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 8 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1082 | 2.08** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8578 | 162.80*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1082 | -1.02 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.3482 | 5.64*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0031 | 3.31*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9964 | 454.37*** |
Persistence:
0.912
Half-life:
8 days
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