V-Lab
UBS CH Property Fund - Swiss Mixed Sima ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
2,316.56
1 Week
1,990.79
1 Month
1,829.65
Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 23, 2026 at 03:44 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 23, 1990 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 8 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 8 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1080 | 2.07** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8580 | 163.06*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1080 | -1.02 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.3527 | 5.62*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0031 | 3.29*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9964 | 451.08*** |
Persistence:
0.912
Half-life:
8 days
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