UBS CH Property Fund - Swiss Mixed Sima ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Wednesday, July 15th, 2026
1 Day
1,929.85
1 Week
1,537.28
1 Month
1,579.55
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 15, 2026 at 09:25 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 23, 1990 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 8 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 8 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1076 | 2.09** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8587 | 164.22*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1076 | -1.03 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.3430 | 5.71*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0030 | 3.30*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9965 | 457.09*** |
Persistence:
0.913
Half-life:
8 days
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