V-Lab
MFF Capital Investments Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026
1 Day
6,366.56
1 Week
5,591.54
1 Month
5,375.95
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 05:54 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 19, 2006 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1513 | 0.09 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6843 | 29.85*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1513 | -0.05 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 0.11 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0642 | 0.10 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9358 | 17.37*** |
Persistence:
0.760
Half-life:
3 days
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