Skip to main content
V-Lab

Chicago Atlantic BDC Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026

1 Day

18,225.87

decreased by 1,685.47

1 Week

18,262.30

decreased by 1,649.04

1 Month

17,831.06

decreased by 2,080.28

Analysis last updated: Monday, August 24, 2026 at 09:25 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Chicago Atlantic BDC Inc ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 4, 2022 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 2 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0610
4.09***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1709
3.80***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5520
5.19***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=4
γ1-3.6071
-6.17***
γ25.1966
6.40***
γ3-2.6416
-5.18***
γ41.9977
3.32***

Persistence:

0.723

Half-life:

2 days