Skip to main content
V-Lab

Chicago Atlantic BDC Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026

1 Day

7,490.16

decreased by 1,431.25

1 Week

7,638.46

decreased by 1,282.95

1 Month

9,469.03

increased by 547.62

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 4, 2026 at 09:29 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Chicago Atlantic BDC Inc ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 4, 2022 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 2 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0174
3.87***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1692
3.77***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5764
5.84***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=4
γ1-3.8754
-5.92***
γ25.4295
5.98***
γ3-2.3491
-4.07***
γ41.1481
1.78*

Persistence:

0.746

Half-life:

2 days