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Oxford Lane Capital Corp. ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Liquidity prediction for Wednesday, July 15th, 2026

1 Day

1,182.78

decreased by 39.44

1 Week

1,268.51

increased by 46.29

1 Month

1,367.09

increased by 144.87

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 09:28 PM UTC

Date Range:

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to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Oxford Lane Capital Corp. ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's liquidity

Liquidity Forecast

How liquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 20, 2011 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 530 trading days (~2.1 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

31
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1575
1.27
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7305
23.25***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.2214
1.19
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

10.0000
0.17
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.2138
2.39**
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.7858
3.04***

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

530 days