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JPMorgan UK Small CAP Growth & Income PLC Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

14,155.48

increased by 97.38

1 Week

10,403.26

decreased by 3,654.84

1 Month

12,288.31

decreased by 1,769.79

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 23, 2026 at 02:55 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of JPMorgan UK Small CAP Growth & Income PLC ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 2007 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 688 trading days (~2.7 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.1775
3.70***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1978
6.91***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8012
28.14***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=8
γ1-0.9194
-1.93*
γ21.4398
1.84*
γ3-3.8228
-2.78***
γ48.8747
3.41***
γ5-8.7498
-3.73***
γ63.9250
4.40***
γ7-1.2777
-4.35***
γ81.1427
3.34***

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

688 days