V-Lab
Neuberger Private Equity Partners Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 4th, 2026
1 Day
11,338.72
decreased by 468.51
1 Week
11,709.34
decreased by 97.89
1 Month
13,246.61
increased by 1,439.38
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 4, 2026 at 08:24 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 13, 2009 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): illiquidity shocks do not decay and the long-run level is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 0.26 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0587 | 20.57*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9398 | 487.19*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0029 | 0.53 |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
-
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