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Protara Therapeutic Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

6,127.64

decreased by 566.38

1 Week

7,128.34

increased by 434.32

1 Month

8,825.17

increased by 2,131.15

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 09:15 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Protara Therapeutic Inc ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 22, 2014 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.996, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 175 trading days (~0.7 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.1731
4.34***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1882
12.63***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8078
57.61***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0294
-1.99**

Persistence:

0.996

Half-life:

175 days