V-Lab
Protara Therapeutic Inc ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
9,379.55
1 Week
8,097.33
1 Month
11,598.62
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 09:17 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 22, 2014 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 31 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 31 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2079 | 6.26*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8036 | 246.96*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0671 | -1.14 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 5.3996 | 24.90*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.01 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9983 | 736.76*** |
Persistence:
0.978
Half-life:
31 days
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