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TAKE Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, August 27th, 2026

1 Day

11,312.71

increased by 5,329.44

1 Week

4,674.99

decreased by 1,308.28

1 Month

2,386.55

decreased by 3,596.72

Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 27, 2026 at 07:27 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of TAKE Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 5, 2007 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 346573 trading days (~1375.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.2542
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1841
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8159
γi Spline Coefficients
K=3
γ1-0.4615
γ20.6108
γ3-0.1615

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

346573 days