V-Lab
TAKE Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, August 27th, 2026
1 Day
12,338.91
1 Week
4,876.91
1 Month
2,266.85
Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 27, 2026 at 07:27 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 5, 2007 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 29 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 29 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 46 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2069 | 0.19 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8135 | 128.96*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0874 | -0.04 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 0.35 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0039 | 0.44 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9322 | 5.29*** |
Persistence:
0.977
Half-life:
29 days
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