V-Lab
Systematic Industries Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, August 7th, 2026
1 Day
2,579.63
decreased by 216.97
1 Week
3,172.09
increased by 375.49
1 Month
6,287.19
increased by 3,490.59
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 07:04 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 2, 2025 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 1 trading day.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.5368 | 4.11*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2584 | 1.46 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Spline Coefficients
K=4
| γ1 | 63.1911 | 2.52** |
| γ2 | -157.0438 | -4.84*** |
| γ3 | 166.1086 | 5.21*** |
| γ4 | -145.6103 | -2.14** |
Persistence:
0.258
Half-life:
1 days
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