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V-Lab

Systematic Industries Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, August 7th, 2026

1 Day

2,579.63

decreased by 216.97

1 Week

3,172.09

increased by 375.49

1 Month

6,287.19

increased by 3,490.59

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 07:04 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Systematic Industries Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 2, 2025 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 1 trading day.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.5368
4.11***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2584
1.46
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0000
0.00
γi Spline Coefficients
K=4
γ163.1911
2.52**
γ2-157.0438
-4.84***
γ3166.1086
5.21***
γ4-145.6103
-2.14**

Persistence:

0.258

Half-life:

1 days