V-Lab
Systematic Industries Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, August 7th, 2026
1 Day
6,608.48
1 Week
6,659.98
1 Month
6,497.61
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 07:04 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 2, 2025 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 4 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 4 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 51 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0235 | |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7577 | |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1430 | |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0105 | 1,318.38*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0751 | |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.8870 |
Persistence:
0.853
Half-life:
4 days
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