V-Lab
Shattuck Labs Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, August 13th, 2026
1 Day
4,701.07
increased by 94.28
1 Week
5,586.64
increased by 979.85
1 Month
5,787.65
increased by 1,180.86
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 12, 2026 at 09:32 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 9, 2020 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 595 trading days (~2.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.1044 | 3.65*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2038 | 14.18*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7951 | 54.82*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.1480 | -2.04** |
Persistence:
0.999
Half-life:
595 days
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