Shattuck Labs Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, October 26th, 2026
1 Day
5,503.95
increased by 48.26
1 Week
5,932.55
increased by 476.86
1 Month
5,283.73
decreased by 171.96
Analysis last updated: Friday, October 23, 2026 at 10:41 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 9, 2020 to Oct 23, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 575 trading days (~2.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
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High persistence: persistence 0.999, shock half-life ~575 days
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 1.0997 | 3.64*** |
| αARCH | 0.2021 | 14.43*** |
| βGARCH | 0.7967 | 56.46*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.1421 | -2.35** |
0.999
Persistence575d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.0997 | 3.64*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2021 | 14.43*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7967 | 56.46*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.1421 | -2.35** |
Persistence:
0.999
Half-life:
575 days
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