Shattuck Labs Inc ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, October 26th, 2026
1 Day
5,948.09
1 Week
6,416.36
1 Month
5,448.66
Analysis last updated: Friday, October 23, 2026 at 10:41 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 9, 2020 to Oct 23, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 9 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 9 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
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| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| mwindow | 21 | |
| αARCH | 0.1732 | 9.85*** |
| βGARCH | 0.8398 | 56.89*** |
| γleverage | -0.1732 | -7.21*** |
| λ₁tau intercept | 10.0000 | 0.18 |
| λ₂forecast adj. | 0.8677 | 14.76*** |
| λ₃tau persistence | 0.0475 | 11.30*** |
0.926
Persistence9d
Half-lifeILLIQ-MFMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1732 | 9.85*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8398 | 56.89*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1732 | -7.21*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 0.18 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.8677 | 14.76*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0475 | 11.30*** |
Persistence:
0.926
Half-life:
9 days
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