V-Lab
Shattuck Labs Inc ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, August 13th, 2026
1 Day
4,899.71
1 Week
5,901.28
1 Month
6,124.49
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 12, 2026 at 09:32 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 9, 2020 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.994, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 112 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 76 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2327 | 1.58 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7797 | 224.25*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0372 | -0.13 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9984 | 213.33*** |
Persistence:
0.994
Half-life:
112 days
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