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Strata Critical Medical Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, October 15th, 2026

1 Day

5,897.36

increased by 971.45

1 Week

5,003.75

increased by 77.84

1 Month

4,576.73

decreased by 349.18

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, October 14, 2026 at 10:11 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/14/2024

to

10/14/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Strata Critical Medical Inc ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 13, 2019 to Oct 9, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 43 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.7861
1.61
αARCH0.1576
5.07***
βGARCH0.8265
22.39***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=6
γ1-7.9394
-3.44***
γ214.8238
4.24***
γ3-9.9609
-5.02***
γ43.6800
2.91***
γ5-1.0561
-1.05
γ60.5829
0.49

0.984

Persistence

43d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.7861
1.61
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1576
5.07***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8265
22.39***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=6
γ1-7.9394
-3.44***
γ214.8238
4.24***
γ3-9.9609
-5.02***
γ43.6800
2.91***
γ5-1.0561
-1.05
γ60.5829
0.49

Persistence:

0.984

Half-life:

43 days