Strata Critical Medical Inc Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, October 15th, 2026
1 Day
7,403.50
increased by 987.99
1 Week
6,438.24
increased by 22.73
1 Month
5,542.12
decreased by 873.39
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, October 14, 2026 at 10:11 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 13, 2019 to Oct 9, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.998, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 413 trading days (~1.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
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High persistence: persistence 0.998, shock half-life ~413 days
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
| αARCH | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
| βGARCH | 0.9345 | 57.56*** |
| γleverage | 0.1277 | 2.73*** |
0.998
Persistence413d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9345 | 57.56*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1277 | 2.73*** |
Persistence:
0.998
Half-life:
413 days
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