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Sumou Real Estate Company Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Sunday, August 9th, 2026

1 Day

11,843.94

decreased by 126.27

1 Week

14,793.31

increased by 2,823.10

1 Month

11,475.44

decreased by 494.77

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 08:13 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Sumou Real Estate Company ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 11, 2020 to Aug 6, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.996, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 184 trading days (~0.7 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.1273
2.14**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2740
11.53***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7223
30.67***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=2
γ1-0.8000
-4.87***
γ21.4613
5.66***

Persistence:

0.996

Half-life:

184 days