Sumou Real Estate Company ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Tuesday, July 21st, 2026
1 Day
8,099.05
1 Week
7,110.11
1 Month
6,110.38
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 21, 2026 at 07:46 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 11, 2020 to Jul 16, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 5 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 5 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2569 | 1.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7467 | 67.01*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.2569 | -0.62 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 1.3019 | 2.82*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9959 | 152.04*** |
Persistence:
0.875
Half-life:
5 days
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