V-Lab
Sumou Real Estate Company ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Sunday, August 9th, 2026
1 Day
10,174.55
1 Week
12,791.10
1 Month
9,689.35
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 08:13 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 11, 2020 to Aug 6, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 5 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 5 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2531 | 1.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7521 | 68.78*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.2531 | -0.62 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 1.3182 | 2.63*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9958 | 150.38*** |
Persistence:
0.879
Half-life:
5 days
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