V-Lab
Solarium Green Energy Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, July 31st, 2026
1 Day
17,412.31
increased by 9,042.22
1 Week
8,620.00
increased by 249.91
1 Month
5,743.31
decreased by 2,626.78
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 31, 2026 at 06:57 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 13, 2025 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 2 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.3847 | 6.79*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.3137 | 4.37*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.3392 | 2.62*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.1351 | -0.34 |
Persistence:
0.653
Half-life:
2 days
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