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Solarium Green Energy Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, July 31st, 2026

1 Day

10,160.04

increased by 5,473.67

1 Week

5,229.37

increased by 543.00

1 Month

4,701.84

increased by 15.47

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 31, 2026 at 06:57 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Solarium Green Energy Ltd ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 13, 2025 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): illiquidity shocks do not decay and the long-run level is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 93% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
0.35
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0811
8.36***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8813
111.37***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0753
2.86***

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

-