V-Lab
Sharat Industries Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 19th, 2026
1 Day
4,411.98
increased by 3,821.27
1 Week
1,237.33
increased by 646.62
1 Month
658.69
increased by 67.98
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 19, 2026 at 07:05 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 31, 1997 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 138629 trading days (~550.1 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.8974 | 0.01 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1662 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8338 | 0.01 |
Spline Coefficients
K=3
| γ1 | -1.4050 | 0.00 |
| γ2 | 1.1276 | 0.00 |
| γ3 | 0.0081 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
138629 days
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