V-Lab
Sharat Industries Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 19th, 2026
1 Day
11,006.42
1 Week
2,658.22
1 Month
1,004.80
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 19, 2026 at 07:05 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 31, 1997 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.997, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 250 trading days (~1.0 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2568 | 0.88 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.5619 | 10.51*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.3571 | 0.74 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0153 | 0.00 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.4603 | 1.84* |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.5397 | 2.02** |
Persistence:
0.997
Half-life:
250 days
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