V-Lab
Shadab Textile Mills Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026
1 Day
3,743.08
decreased by 582.02
1 Week
3,790.00
decreased by 535.10
1 Month
5,216.67
increased by 891.57
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 07:56 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 21, 2012 to Aug 24, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 36 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.3147 | 3.02*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1435 | 7.56*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8376 | 35.90*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=4
| γ1 | -0.7686 | -2.00** |
| γ2 | 1.9136 | 3.51*** |
| γ3 | -2.6025 | -7.66*** |
| γ4 | 1.7624 | 3.48*** |
Persistence:
0.981
Half-life:
36 days
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