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Shadab Textile Mills Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026

1 Day

4,437.42

decreased by 571.65

1 Week

4,578.70

decreased by 430.37

1 Month

6,097.05

increased by 1,087.98

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 07:56 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Shadab Textile Mills ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 21, 2012 to Aug 24, 2026

Model Insight

Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): illiquidity shocks do not decay and the long-run level is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 66% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
0.15
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0895
20.00***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8809
320.79***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0591
6.64***

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

-