V-Lab
Ses Ai Corporation Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, July 28th, 2026
1 Day
6,264.88
increased by 445.96
1 Week
5,763.69
decreased by 55.23
1 Month
4,341.04
decreased by 1,477.88
Analysis last updated: Monday, July 27, 2026 at 09:45 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 7, 2021 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.998, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 304 trading days (~1.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.8754 | 5.73*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1830 | 9.18*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8147 | 37.31*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.4268 | -3.90*** |
Persistence:
0.998
Half-life:
304 days
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