V-Lab
Ses Ai Corporation ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, July 28th, 2026
1 Day
6,789.47
1 Week
6,324.00
1 Month
4,903.07
Analysis last updated: Monday, July 27, 2026 at 09:45 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 7, 2021 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 25 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 25 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1787 | 6.47*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8191 | 187.22*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0497 | -0.94 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.01 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9984 | 804.51*** |
Persistence:
0.973
Half-life:
25 days
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