V-Lab
Ses Ai Corporation Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, July 28th, 2026
1 Day
6,808.71
decreased by 233.65
1 Week
6,649.12
decreased by 393.24
1 Month
5,819.01
decreased by 1,223.35
Analysis last updated: Monday, July 27, 2026 at 09:45 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 7, 2021 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 857 trading days (~3.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 0.06 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0374 | 1.90* |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9222 | 422.04*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0794 | 1.44 |
Persistence:
0.999
Half-life:
857 days
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