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V-Lab

Stroeer SE Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, July 23rd, 2026

1 Day

4,534.38

decreased by 276.89

1 Week

4,787.28

decreased by 23.99

1 Month

4,635.73

decreased by 175.54

Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 23, 2026 at 06:46 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Stroeer SE ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 14, 2010 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 21 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.2319
5.99***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1039
9.62***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8639
61.27***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=4
γ1-0.3122
-8.63***
γ20.5051
10.01***
γ3-0.2286
-7.99***
γ40.0282
0.70

Persistence:

0.968

Half-life:

21 days