V-Lab
Stroeer SE ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, July 23rd, 2026
1 Day
4,323.81
1 Week
4,579.99
1 Month
4,444.05
Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 23, 2026 at 06:46 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 14, 2010 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 4 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 4 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1113 | 0.43 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7943 | 30.05*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1113 | -0.20 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 7.4314 | 0.63 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0723 | 0.58 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9251 | 18.33*** |
Persistence:
0.850
Half-life:
4 days
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