V-Lab
Ryerson Holding Corp Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026
1 Day
2,825.01
increased by 120.58
1 Week
2,567.15
decreased by 137.28
1 Month
2,308.99
decreased by 395.44
Analysis last updated: Monday, August 24, 2026 at 09:50 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 8, 2014 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.996, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 154 trading days (~0.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.2413 | 5.37*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1075 | 12.64*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8880 | 105.77*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0229 | -1.51 |
Persistence:
0.996
Half-life:
154 days
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