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Ryerson Holding Corp Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, October 6th, 2026

1 Day

2,222.16

increased by 348.27

1 Week

1,740.67

decreased by 133.22

1 Month

1,801.94

decreased by 71.95

Analysis last updated: Monday, October 5, 2026 at 09:55 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/05/2024

to

10/05/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Ryerson Holding Corp ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 8, 2014 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.995, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 152 trading days (~0.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.995, shock half-life ~152 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.2338
5.35***
αARCH0.1074
12.72***
βGARCH0.8881
106.56***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0249
-1.67*

0.995

Persistence

152d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.2338
5.35***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1074
12.72***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8881
106.56***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0249
-1.67*

Persistence:

0.995

Half-life:

152 days