V-Lab
Ryerson Holding Corp ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026
1 Day
3,072.97
1 Week
2,766.38
1 Month
2,460.12
Analysis last updated: Monday, August 24, 2026 at 09:50 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 8, 2014 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 13 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 13 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 41 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0708 | 0.32 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9128 | 219.17*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0708 | -0.16 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 0.21 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 1.0000 | 0.32 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.05 |
Persistence:
0.948
Half-life:
13 days
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