V-Lab
RP Optical LAB Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Sunday, August 2nd, 2026
1 Day
5,596.10
decreased by 1,079.47
1 Week
6,629.16
decreased by 46.41
1 Month
5,929.93
decreased by 745.64
Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 2, 2026 at 06:16 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 4, 2025 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 44 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.9416 | 5.41*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1790 | 3.92*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8052 | 16.02*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -2.0476 | -0.82 |
Persistence:
0.984
Half-life:
44 days
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