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V-Lab

RP Optical LAB Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Sunday, October 11th, 2026

1 Day

3,481.95

increased by 142.32

1 Week

3,648.40

increased by 308.77

1 Month

4,666.73

increased by 1,327.10

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 9, 2026 at 10:02 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/08/2024

to

10/08/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of RP Optical LAB Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 4, 2025 to Oct 8, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 35 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.9466
5.62***
αARCH0.1692
4.27***
βGARCH0.8110
18.59***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-1.7544
-1.18

0.980

Persistence

35d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.9466
5.62***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1692
4.27***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8110
18.59***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-1.7544
-1.18

Persistence:

0.980

Half-life:

35 days