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V-Lab

Republic Power Group Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, September 21st, 2026

1 Day

1,150,494.00

increased by 285,245.90

1 Week

606,066.54

decreased by 259,181.56

1 Month

401,263.96

decreased by 463,984.14

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 18, 2026 at 10:50 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Republic Power Group Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 14, 2025 to Sep 18, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 5 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.2806
4.26***
αARCH0.5247
6.28***
βGARCH0.3398
2.63***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-1.1265
-0.68

0.865

Persistence

5d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.2806
4.26***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.5247
6.28***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.3398
2.63***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-1.1265
-0.68

Persistence:

0.865

Half-life:

5 days