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Republic Power Group Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, October 23rd, 2026

1 Day

186,498.00

decreased by 48,724.30

1 Week

199,786.88

decreased by 35,435.42

1 Month

271,753.25

increased by 36,530.95

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 22, 2026 at 09:28 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/22/2024

to

10/22/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Republic Power Group Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 14, 2025 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 1 trading day.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.7090
6.97***
αARCH0.5341
6.36***
βGARCH0.0606
0.78
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.7977
-0.81

0.595

Persistence

1d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.7090
6.97***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.5341
6.36***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0606
0.78
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.7977
-0.81

Persistence:

0.595

Half-life:

1 days