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MIDWEST ENERGY Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, August 14th, 2026

1 Day

14,755.24

increased by 10,358.87

1 Week

6,574.31

increased by 2,177.94

1 Month

3,159.06

decreased by 1,237.31

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 06:59 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of MIDWEST ENERGY Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 6, 2012 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 6 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.2686
2.14**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.5659
6.82***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.3326
4.62***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=6
γ1-15.4630
-1.78*
γ222.9308
1.90*
γ3-25.1638
-3.75***
γ428.4704
4.92***
γ5-6.6261
-1.11
γ6-2.5223
-0.27

Persistence:

0.898

Half-life:

6 days