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MIDWEST ENERGY Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, August 14th, 2026

1 Day

3,954.36

increased by 219.30

1 Week

3,750.21

increased by 15.15

1 Month

3,147.06

decreased by 588.00

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 06:59 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of MIDWEST ENERGY Ltd ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 6, 2012 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.996, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 158 trading days (~0.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 345% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0000
0.00
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0186
5.34***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9448
335.63***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0644
10.97***

Persistence:

0.996

Half-life:

158 days