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Reach Subsea Asa Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

26,044.90

increased by 83.16

1 Week

26,497.46

increased by 535.72

1 Month

23,658.82

decreased by 2,302.92

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 04:38 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Reach Subsea Asa ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 5, 1992 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 522 trading days (~2.1 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

26.5150
2.79***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0791
6.37***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9195
74.53***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=9
γ1-0.4239
-0.56
γ20.9803
0.64
γ3-0.0292
-0.02
γ4-0.9219
-0.87
γ52.2639
2.13**
γ6-4.4358
-4.20***
γ73.6561
6.03***
γ8-1.6307
-6.33***
γ91.2023
3.70***

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

522 days