Reach Subsea Asa ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Tuesday, July 21st, 2026
1 Day
22,845.42
1 Week
18,701.26
1 Month
20,009.24
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 21, 2026 at 07:38 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 5, 1992 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 5705 trading days (~22.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 116 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0826 | 0.16 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9111 | 28.11*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0124 | 0.01 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 9.1998 | 0.00 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.1663 | 0.81 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.8337 | 0.70 |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
5705 days
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