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Rocky Brands Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026

1 Day

5,331.63

increased by 80.81

1 Week

5,379.24

increased by 128.42

1 Month

6,054.43

increased by 803.61

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 10:03 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Rocky Brands Inc ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 3, 1993 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 3108 trading days (~12.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.8384
6.22***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0987
11.52***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9011
103.53***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=9
γ1-0.7964
-2.89***
γ21.3067
3.77***
γ3-1.4226
-9.34***
γ41.9607
10.39***
γ5-1.5079
-7.91***
γ60.5020
2.71***
γ7-0.0872
-0.51
γ80.1741
1.15
γ9-0.3549
-1.88*

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

3108 days