V-Lab
Rocky Brands Inc Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026
1 Day
5,521.81
1 Week
5,603.96
1 Month
5,878.34
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 10:02 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 3, 1993 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1386294 trading days (~5501.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 92% more after negative returns
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 0.35 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0504 | 17.38*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9264 | 634.11*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0464 | 7.74*** |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
1386294 days
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