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Rana Sugars Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, October 22nd, 2026

1 Day

6,363.16

increased by 1,015.15

1 Week

5,050.50

decreased by 297.51

1 Month

4,049.80

decreased by 1,298.21

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 22, 2026 at 07:15 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/21/2024

to

10/21/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Rana Sugars Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 15, 2007 to Oct 19, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 783 trading days (~3.1 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.999, shock half-life ~783 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.1385
6.00***
αARCH0.1632
12.12***
βGARCH0.8359
61.57***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0126
-1.47

0.999

Persistence

783d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.1385
6.00***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1632
12.12***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8359
61.57***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0126
-1.47

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

783 days