V-Lab
Rabbit Holdings PCL Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, August 7th, 2026
1 Day
10,570.21
increased by 6,689.30
1 Week
5,646.30
increased by 1,765.39
1 Month
5,149.80
increased by 1,268.89
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 08:26 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 24, 1994 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 99021 trading days (~392.9 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.3823 | 0.00 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2512 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7487 | 0.00 |
Spline Coefficients
K=10
| γ1 | 0.2737 | 0.00 |
| γ2 | -0.4884 | 0.00 |
| γ3 | 0.5686 | 0.00 |
| γ4 | -0.7999 | 0.00 |
| γ5 | 0.3688 | 0.00 |
| γ6 | 0.3105 | 0.00 |
| γ7 | -0.5715 | -0.01 |
| γ8 | -0.4241 | 0.00 |
| γ9 | 3.1356 | 0.00 |
| γ10 | -4.2764 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
99021 days
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