V-Lab
Rabbit Holdings PCL Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, September 21st, 2026
1 Day
12,906.55
1 Week
12,113.23
1 Month
12,489.69
Analysis last updated: Sunday, September 20, 2026 at 03:34 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 24, 1994 to Sep 18, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 693147 trading days (~2750.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.2951 | 0.01 |
| αARCH | 0.0108 | 1.04 |
| βGARCH | 0.9418 | 38.96*** |
| γleverage | 0.0947 | 0.71 |
1.000
Persistence693147d
Half-lifeILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.2951 | 0.01 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0108 | 1.04 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9418 | 38.96*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0947 | 0.71 |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
693147 days
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