V-Lab
Pruksa Holding Public Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, October 7th, 2026
1 Day
5,889.27
increased by 907.89
1 Week
4,858.23
decreased by 123.15
1 Month
4,502.44
decreased by 478.94
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, October 7, 2026 at 08:34 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 7, 2005 to Oct 2, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 47 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
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Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 8.8389 | 2.74*** |
| αARCH | 0.0741 | 2.59*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9112 | 24.38*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=3
| γ1 | 0.1342 | 5.16*** |
| γ2 | -0.1172 | -3.37*** |
| γ3 | -0.0085 | -0.40 |
0.985
Persistence47d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 8.8389 | 2.74*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0741 | 2.59*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9112 | 24.38*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=3
| γ1 | 0.1342 | 5.16*** |
| γ2 | -0.1172 | -3.37*** |
| γ3 | -0.0085 | -0.40 |
Persistence:
0.985
Half-life:
47 days
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