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Pruksa Holding Public Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, October 7th, 2026

1 Day

5,889.27

increased by 907.89

1 Week

4,858.23

decreased by 123.15

1 Month

4,502.44

decreased by 478.94

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, October 7, 2026 at 08:34 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/06/2024

to

10/06/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Pruksa Holding Public Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 7, 2005 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 47 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst8.8389
2.74***
αARCH0.0741
2.59***
βGARCH0.9112
24.38***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=3
γ10.1342
5.16***
γ2-0.1172
-3.37***
γ3-0.0085
-0.40

0.985

Persistence

47d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

8.8389
2.74***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0741
2.59***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9112
24.38***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=3
γ10.1342
5.16***
γ2-0.1172
-3.37***
γ3-0.0085
-0.40

Persistence:

0.985

Half-life:

47 days