V-Lab
Pruksa Holding Public Co Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, October 7th, 2026
1 Day
5,625.21
1 Week
4,439.57
1 Month
4,014.80
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, October 7, 2026 at 08:34 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 7, 2005 to Oct 2, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 693147 trading days (~2750.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.7527 | 0.44 |
| αARCH | 0.0691 | 1.17 |
| βGARCH | 0.9242 | 41.53*** |
| γleverage | 0.0135 | 0.18 |
1.000
Persistence693147d
Half-lifeILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.7527 | 0.44 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0691 | 1.17 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9242 | 41.53*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0135 | 0.18 |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
693147 days
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