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Prosafe Se Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Liquidity prediction for Friday, July 17th, 2026

1 Day

6,290.38

decreased by 57.14

1 Week

5,430.16

decreased by 917.36

1 Month

6,286.22

decreased by 61.30

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 17, 2026 at 08:36 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Prosafe Se ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's liquidity

Liquidity Forecast

How liquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 11, 1998 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.994, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 123 trading days (~0.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.8368
2.96***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2086
9.71***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7858
39.44***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=4
γ1-0.0337
-1.53
γ20.1081
3.17***
γ3-0.0974
-4.39***
γ40.0081
0.34

Persistence:

0.994

Half-life:

123 days