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Prizor Viztech Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, September 17th, 2026

1 Day

6,841.98

increased by 5,296.30

1 Week

2,755.49

increased by 1,209.81

1 Month

1,778.80

increased by 233.12

Analysis last updated: Thursday, September 17, 2026 at 07:22 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Prizor Viztech Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 22, 2024 to Sep 11, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 9 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.4229
4.90***
αARCH0.1254
3.22***
βGARCH0.8007
10.42***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.8586
-3.03***

0.926

Persistence

9d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.4229
4.90***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1254
3.22***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8007
10.42***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.8586
-3.03***

Persistence:

0.926

Half-life:

9 days