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Petronor E&P Asa Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, August 14th, 2026

1 Day

4,579.96

increased by 440.36

1 Week

4,294.09

increased by 154.49

1 Month

5,016.62

increased by 877.02

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 08:11 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Petronor E&P Asa ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 2, 2019 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 56 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.1187
4.83***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1209
8.18***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8667
55.65***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0392
-1.23

Persistence:

0.988

Half-life:

56 days