V-Lab
Petronor E&P Asa ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, August 14th, 2026
1 Day
4,832.50
1 Week
4,595.85
1 Month
5,209.51
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 08:11 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 2, 2019 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 43 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 43 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 76 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1044 | 15.62*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8710 | 208.31*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0174 | 1.67* |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.02 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9996 | 1,107.00*** |
Persistence:
0.984
Half-life:
43 days
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