V-Lab
Pashupati Cotspin Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, September 1st, 2026
1 Day
5,158.25
increased by 4,008.00
1 Week
2,260.63
increased by 1,110.38
1 Month
1,890.93
increased by 740.68
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 1, 2026 at 07:22 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 12, 2017 to Aug 28, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 5 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.6173 | 3.47*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2033 | 4.41*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6680 | 8.47*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=5
| γ1 | -6.5195 | -4.77*** |
| γ2 | 8.4222 | 4.24*** |
| γ3 | -3.7794 | -2.53** |
| γ4 | 4.5386 | 2.21** |
| γ5 | -7.6706 | -1.48 |
Persistence:
0.871
Half-life:
5 days
Other Pashupati Cotspin Ltd Analyses
Other Spline ILLIQ Analyses on International Equities